Planning for an Exponential Future

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Augustiner-Keller

Arnulfstraße 52

80335 München

Germany

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We humans aren’t great predictors of the future. For most of history, our experience has been “local and linear.” Not much change occurred generation to generation: We used the same tools, ate the same meals, lived in the same general place. As a result, we’ve developed an intuitive outlook of the future akin to how we approach a staircase—having climbed a number of steps, our prediction of what’s to come is simply steps followed by more steps, with each day expected to be roughly like the last. Though the pace of technology is progressing exponentially, the default mode of our caveman brains is to think linearly. As a result, we’ve developed an intuitive outlook of the future akin to how we approach a staircase—having climbed a number of steps, our prediction of what’s to come is simply steps followed by more steps, with each day expected to be roughly like the last. But, as Ray Kurzweil describes in The Singularity Is Near, the rapid growth of technology is actually accelerating progress across a host of domains. This has led to unexpected degrees of technological and social change occurring not only between generations, but within them. Against our intuition, today the future is unfolding not linearly but exponentially, making it challenging to predict just what will happen next and when. This is why the pace of technological progress tends to surprise us. How do we prepare for a future tracking to exponential trends, if we aren’t accustomed to thinking this way? We will discuss at the event how to prepare for an exponential future and change our mindset accordingly.

Datum und Uhrzeit

Veranstaltungsort

Augustiner-Keller

Arnulfstraße 52

80335 München

Germany

Karte anzeigen

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